News - Prospector's Diary

Iron ore and gold marched higher this week for different reasons

Iron ore and gold marched higher this week for different reasons and while a continuation of gold’s upward move seems assured, the first sign of an end to the iron ore boom came in the form of a forecast from a big bank that the commodities super-cycle has returned. Westpac, Australia’s oldest bank, said growth in the domestic Chinese economy coupled with the rise of India and Indonesia seemed poised to launch the next phase of the super cycle.

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Load up with gold and head for the hills or rush into industrial metals and oil

Load up with gold and head for the hills or rush into industrial metals and oil. That seems to be your choice from Monday, when a new financial year kicks off and we’ll know whether Trump and Xi shook hands and smiled – or not! The handshake the world wants to see could occur today or tomorrow when Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to have a face-to-face meeting with US President, Donald Trump at the G20 summit in the Japanese city of Osaka.

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Australian gold bugs will forever remember June 20, 2019, as the day when the local gold price cracked the once unimaginable $2000 an ounce barrier

Australian gold bugs will forever remember June 20, 2019, as the day when the local gold price cracked the once unimaginable $2000 an ounce barrier – while showing every indication of going higher. The effect on gold stocks was electric, despite ample evidence that the $2000/oz mark had been in sight all years thanks to the combination of the China v US trade war and falling US interest rates.

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Good news in iron ore, gold and rare earths couldn’t spark investor enthusiasm in a week when most interest seemed to be in the negative effects of the China v US trade war

Good news in iron ore, gold and rare earths couldn’t spark investor enthusiasm in a week when most interest seemed to be in the negative effects of the China v US trade war and adjusting portfolios ahead the end of the financial year. So much negative sentiment might reasonably have been expected to have helped gold stocks move up further than they did, especially given the strong flow of funds into physical gold and exchange-traded funds.

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If Charles Dickens had not coined the expression “it was the best of times, it was the worst of times” in the opening lines to his epic Tale of Two Cities about 160 years ago

If Charles Dickens had not coined the expression “it was the best of times, it was the worst of times” in the opening lines to his epic Tale of Two Cities about 160 years ago, it would be a good way of describing events this week in the Australian gold sector. On the one hand, gold hit an all-time record of more than $A1900 an ounce, while on the other hand, three local gold miners suffered self-inflicted wounds that decimated their share prices.

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Rare earth stocks woke with a jolt this week

Rare earth stocks woke with a jolt this week, for the same reason iron ore stocks have been on fire. Both sectors are winners from the increasingly dangerous trade war which has pitted the US against China. The iron ore rally is well understood. It’s an event driven by a supply squeeze courtesy of problems in Brazil and demand-pull courtesy of China stimulating its economy to offset declining exports to the US.

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Battery-metal news livened up the Australian market in a week dominated by post-election analysis

Battery-metal news livened up the Australian market in a week dominated by post-election analysis, high iron ore prices, the return of coal to the winner’s circle and the first worrying signs that Dr Copper might be catching a trade-war cold. Five battery-linked events, two in lithium and one in each of graphite, rare earths and nickel, served as a reminder that battery-metals remain a sector with significant growth potential for Australian investors.

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The dead hand of Australian politics took a firm grip of the stock market

The dead hand of Australian politics took a firm grip of the stock market in the days before Saturday’s election despite abundant evidence that a number of sectors appear poised to move up sharply, led by gold, oil, iron ore and nickel. Gold and oil are the stand out opportunities as the Middle East heads towards a US v Iran showdown, potentially with severe implications for oil and LNG shipping movements along the world’s energy highway, the Persian Gulf.

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